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Serie A — Regular Season - 5

Fiorentina

FULL TIME

1 - 1

Napoli

Prediction

Serie A
FT · 1-1
FiorentinaVSNapoli
1X2 Match Winner
Conf: 44%Share
Pick: away62.6%

Model expects Fiorentina to score ~1.28 goals and Napoli ~2.44 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Napoli is the most likely outcome (62.6% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 71.8%.

Verified track record: 49% correct over 98 settled picks · see accuracy

Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
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Both Teams To Score
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
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Correct Score
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
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Goal Handicap (Home -1)
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
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Prediction History

1x2Incorrect
Published
9/16/2026
Model
poisson-dixon-coles v0.1.0
Pick
away
Model Probability
63%

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Full Match Statistics

FiorentinaMatch StatisticsNapoli
42Possession %58
17Total Shots12
4Shots on Target4
4Corners5
11Fouls9
0Offsides1
3Yellow Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves3
84Pass Accuracy %89