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Premier League — Regular Season - 4

Leeds

FULL TIME

4 - 1

Newcastle

Prediction

Premier League
FT · 4-1
LeedsVSNewcastle
1X2 Match Winner
Conf: 7%Share
Pick: home38.3%

Model expects Leeds to score ~1.14 goals and Newcastle ~0.99 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Leeds is the most likely outcome (38.3% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 35.7%.

Verified track record: 49% correct over 98 settled picks · see accuracy

Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
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Goal Handicap (Home -1)
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
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Both Teams To Score
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
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Correct Score
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
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Prediction History

1x2Correct
Published
9/14/2026
Model
poisson-dixon-coles v0.1.0
Pick
home
Model Probability
38%

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Full Match Statistics

LeedsMatch StatisticsNewcastle
51Possession %49
15Total Shots7
6Shots on Target5
5Corners5
8Fouls13
2Offsides3
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves3