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Premier League — Regular Season - 5
Manchester City
FULL TIME
5 - 3
Sunderland
Prediction
Premier League
FT · 5-3
Manchester CityVSSunderland
Correct Score
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
Goal Handicap (Home -1)
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
Both Teams To Score
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
1X2 Match Winner
Conf: 73%Share
Pick: home82.2%
Model expects Manchester City to score ~2.13 goals and Sunderland ~0.22 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Manchester City is the most likely outcome (82.2% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 41.7%.
Verified track record: 49% correct over 98 settled picks · see accuracy
Prediction History
1x2Correct
- Published
- 9/16/2026
- Model
- poisson-dixon-coles v0.1.0
- Pick
- home
- Model Probability
- 82%
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Full Match Statistics
Manchester CityMatch StatisticsSunderland
55Possession %45
16Total Shots17
6Shots on Target9
6Corners5
14Fouls14
0Offsides0
0Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves1