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Premier League — Regular Season - 6

Arsenal

FULL TIME

2 - 1

Leeds

Prediction

Premier League
FT · 2-1
ArsenalVSLeeds
1X2 Match Winner
Conf: 8%Share
Pick: draw38.6%

Model expects Arsenal to score ~0.77 goals and Leeds ~0.69 goals based on recent attack/defense form. a draw is the most likely outcome (38.6% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 18.1%.

Verified track record: 49% correct over 98 settled picks · see accuracy

Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
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Both Teams To Score
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
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Correct Score
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
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Goal Handicap (Home -1)
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
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Prediction History

1x2Incorrect
Published
10/1/2026
Model
poisson-dixon-coles v0.1.0
Pick
draw
Model Probability
39%

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Full Match Statistics

ArsenalMatch StatisticsLeeds
58Possession %42
13Total Shots11
6Shots on Target5
3Corners4
12Fouls20
7Offsides4
1Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves4