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La Liga — Regular Season - 5
Real Madrid
FULL TIME
4 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
Prediction
La Liga
FT · 4-1
Real MadridVSRayo Vallecano
1X2 Match Winner
Conf: 90%Share
Pick: home93.0%
Model expects Real Madrid to score ~5.11 goals and Rayo Vallecano ~1.04 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Real Madrid is the most likely outcome (93.0% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 94.0%.
Verified track record: 49% correct over 98 settled picks · see accuracy
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
Both Teams To Score
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
Correct Score
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
Goal Handicap (Home -1)
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
Prediction History
1x2Correct
- Published
- 9/12/2026
- Model
- poisson-dixon-coles v0.1.0
- Pick
- home
- Model Probability
- 93%
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Full Match Statistics
Real MadridMatch StatisticsRayo Vallecano
56Possession %44
24Total Shots18
11Shots on Target7
11Corners5
9Fouls13
1Offsides0
0Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
6Goalkeeper Saves7