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La Liga — Regular Season - 7
Atletico Madrid
FULL TIME
2 - 1
Real Madrid
Prediction
La Liga
FT · 2-1
Atletico MadridVSReal Madrid
Correct Score
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
1X2 Match Winner
Conf: 42%Share
Pick: away61.1%
Model expects Atletico Madrid to score ~1.56 goals and Real Madrid ~2.68 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Real Madrid is the most likely outcome (61.1% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 79.5%.
Verified track record: 49% correct over 98 settled picks · see accuracy
Both Teams To Score
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
Goal Handicap (Home -1)
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
Prediction History
1x2Incorrect
- Published
- 9/16/2026
- Model
- poisson-dixon-coles v0.1.0
- Pick
- away
- Model Probability
- 61%
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Full Match Statistics
Atletico MadridMatch StatisticsReal Madrid
61Possession %39
18Total Shots8
9Shots on Target3
3Corners1
19Fouls6
2Offsides2
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves5