Back to La Liga

La Liga — Regular Season - 8

Alaves
FULL TIME
1 - 2

Atletico Madrid
Prediction
La Liga
FT · 1-2
AlavesVSAtletico Madrid
1X2 Match Winner
Conf: 11%Share
Pick: home40.5%
Model expects Alaves to score ~1.51 goals and Atletico Madrid ~1.35 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Alaves is the most likely outcome (40.5% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 54.4%.
Verified track record: 49% correct over 98 settled picks · see accuracy
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
Both Teams To Score
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
Correct Score
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
Goal Handicap (Home -1)
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
Prediction History
1x2Incorrect
- Published
- 10/1/2026
- Model
- poisson-dixon-coles v0.1.0
- Pick
- home
- Model Probability
- 40%
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Full Match Statistics
AlavesMatch StatisticsAtletico Madrid
32Possession %68
8Total Shots21
3Shots on Target7
0Corners10
11Fouls14
1Offsides2
0Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves2