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La Liga — Regular Season - 8

Alaves

FULL TIME

1 - 2

Atletico Madrid

Prediction

La Liga
FT · 1-2
AlavesVSAtletico Madrid
1X2 Match Winner
Conf: 11%Share
Pick: home40.5%

Model expects Alaves to score ~1.51 goals and Atletico Madrid ~1.35 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Alaves is the most likely outcome (40.5% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 54.4%.

Verified track record: 49% correct over 98 settled picks · see accuracy

Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
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Both Teams To Score
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
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Correct Score
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
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Goal Handicap (Home -1)
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
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Prediction History

1x2Incorrect
Published
10/1/2026
Model
poisson-dixon-coles v0.1.0
Pick
home
Model Probability
40%

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Full Match Statistics

AlavesMatch StatisticsAtletico Madrid
32Possession %68
8Total Shots21
3Shots on Target7
0Corners10
11Fouls14
1Offsides2
0Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves2