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La Liga — Regular Season - 8
Real Madrid
FULL TIME
1 - 0
Villarreal
Prediction
La Liga
FT · 1-0
Real MadridVSVillarreal
1X2 Match Winner
Conf: 69%Share
Pick: home79.1%
Model expects Real Madrid to score ~3.99 goals and Villarreal ~1.56 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Real Madrid is the most likely outcome (79.1% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 91.3%.
Verified track record: 49% correct over 98 settled picks · see accuracy
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
Both Teams To Score
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
Correct Score
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
Goal Handicap (Home -1)
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
Prediction History
1x2Correct
- Published
- 10/1/2026
- Model
- poisson-dixon-coles v0.1.0
- Pick
- home
- Model Probability
- 79%
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Full Match Statistics
Real MadridMatch StatisticsVillarreal
46Possession %54
11Total Shots15
4Shots on Target4
9Corners3
8Fouls13
3Offsides1
5Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves3