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Bundesliga — Regular Season - 5

FSV Mainz 05

FULL TIME

3 - 4

Bayer Leverkusen

Prediction

Bundesliga
FT · 3-4
FSV Mainz 05VSBayer Leverkusen
1X2 Match Winner
Conf: 14%Share
Pick: away43.0%

Model expects FSV Mainz 05 to score ~2.66 goals and Bayer Leverkusen ~2.78 goals based on recent attack/defense form. Bayer Leverkusen is the most likely outcome (43.0% probability). Over 2.5 goals probability: 90.8%.

Verified track record: 49% correct over 98 settled picks · see accuracy

Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
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Both Teams To Score
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
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Correct Score
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
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Goal Handicap (Home -1)
Pro pick — 68.4% Probability
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Prediction History

1x2Correct
Published
10/1/2026
Model
poisson-dixon-coles v0.1.0
Pick
away
Model Probability
43%

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Full Match Statistics

FSV Mainz 05Match StatisticsBayer Leverkusen
47Possession %53
23Total Shots16
5Shots on Target7
4Corners3
11Fouls10
0Offsides1
3Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves1