BETGENIUSHUB

Verified Model Accuracy

We record and settle every model prediction against official match results. No deleted picks, no retroactive edits.

Total Settled
484
Correct Outcomes
211
Prediction Accuracy
43.6%

Accuracy measures how often the selected outcome matched the settled result. It does not represent guaranteed betting returns.

Last 30 Days

Rolling recent accuracy, updated as fixtures settle.

43.8%
46/105 correct

Market Performance Breakdown

1x249% (48/98)
over_under_2_552% (51/98)
btts50% (48/96)
correct_score8.3% (8/96)
handicap58.3% (56/96)

Hypothetical Performance

ROI unavailable because historical publication odds were not recorded. We only calculate ROI using odds captured before kickoff for a specific prediction — never today's odds applied retroactively.

Model Version Performance

poisson-dixon-coles v0.1.043.6% (211/484)

Past Matches vs Our Predictions

Showing 76–100 of 484

1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV

handicap · Picked home · Actual away

Missed

1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV

correct_score · Picked 4-0 · Actual 2-3

Missed

1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV

btts · Picked yes · Actual yes

Correct

1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV

over_under_2_5 · Picked over · Actual over

Correct

1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV

1x2 · Picked home · Actual away

Missed

Genoa vs Fiorentina

handicap · Picked away · Actual push

Missed

Genoa vs Fiorentina

correct_score · Picked 1-1 · Actual 2-1

Missed

Genoa vs Fiorentina

btts · Picked yes · Actual yes

Correct

Genoa vs Fiorentina

over_under_2_5 · Picked over · Actual over

Correct

Genoa vs Fiorentina

1x2 · Picked away · Actual home

Missed

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club

correct_score · Picked 1-1 · Actual 0-0

Missed

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club

btts · Picked yes · Actual no

Missed

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club

over_under_2_5 · Picked over · Actual under

Missed

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club

1x2 · Picked away · Actual draw

Missed

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club

handicap · Picked away · Actual away

Correct

Arsenal vs Leeds

handicap · Picked away · Actual push

Missed

Arsenal vs Leeds

correct_score · Picked 0-0 · Actual 2-1

Missed

Arsenal vs Leeds

btts · Picked no · Actual yes

Missed

Arsenal vs Leeds

over_under_2_5 · Picked under · Actual over

Missed

Arsenal vs Leeds

1x2 · Picked draw · Actual home

Missed

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

handicap · Picked home · Actual away

Missed

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

correct_score · Picked 4-1 · Actual 2-2

Missed

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

btts · Picked yes · Actual yes

Correct

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

over_under_2_5 · Picked over · Actual over

Correct

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

1x2 · Picked home · Actual draw

Missed
Every prediction above is settled automatically post-match by our settlement pipeline. Figures update in real time as fixtures finish.