BETGENIUSHUB

Verified Model Accuracy

We record and settle every model prediction against official match results. No deleted picks, no retroactive edits.

Total Settled
484
Correct Outcomes
211
Prediction Accuracy
43.6%

Accuracy measures how often the selected outcome matched the settled result. It does not represent guaranteed betting returns.

Last 30 Days

Rolling recent accuracy, updated as fixtures settle.

43.8%
46/105 correct

Market Performance Breakdown

1x249% (48/98)
over_under_2_552% (51/98)
btts50% (48/96)
correct_score8.3% (8/96)
handicap58.3% (56/96)

Hypothetical Performance

ROI unavailable because historical publication odds were not recorded. We only calculate ROI using odds captured before kickoff for a specific prediction — never today's odds applied retroactively.

Model Version Performance

poisson-dixon-coles v0.1.043.6% (211/484)

Past Matches vs Our Predictions

Showing 151–175 of 484

Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig

btts · Picked yes · Actual no

Missed

Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig

over_under_2_5 · Picked over · Actual under

Missed

Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig

1x2 · Picked home · Actual home

Correct

Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig

handicap · Picked away · Actual home

Missed

Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig

correct_score · Picked 3-3 · Actual 2-0

Missed

Leeds vs Crystal Palace

over_under_2_5 · Picked over · Actual under

Missed

Manchester City vs Sunderland

1x2 · Picked home · Actual home

Correct

Bournemouth vs Liverpool

handicap · Picked away · Actual away

Correct

Manchester City vs Sunderland

btts · Picked no · Actual yes

Missed

Leeds vs Crystal Palace

1x2 · Picked home · Actual draw

Missed

Bournemouth vs Liverpool

correct_score · Picked 1-1 · Actual 0-1

Missed

Manchester City vs Sunderland

over_under_2_5 · Picked under · Actual over

Missed

Bournemouth vs Liverpool

btts · Picked yes · Actual no

Missed

Bournemouth vs Liverpool

over_under_2_5 · Picked over · Actual under

Missed

Bournemouth vs Liverpool

1x2 · Picked away · Actual away

Correct

Leeds vs Crystal Palace

handicap · Picked home · Actual away

Missed

Leeds vs Crystal Palace

correct_score · Picked 4-0 · Actual 0-0

Missed

Leeds vs Crystal Palace

btts · Picked yes · Actual no

Missed

Manchester City vs Sunderland

handicap · Picked home · Actual home

Correct

Manchester City vs Sunderland

correct_score · Picked 2-0 · Actual 5-3

Missed

Parma vs Genoa

handicap · Picked away · Actual push

Missed

Parma vs Genoa

btts · Picked no · Actual yes

Missed

Parma vs Genoa

over_under_2_5 · Picked under · Actual over

Missed

Parma vs Genoa

correct_score · Picked 0-0 · Actual 2-1

Missed

Parma vs Genoa

1x2 · Picked home · Actual home

Correct
Every prediction above is settled automatically post-match by our settlement pipeline. Figures update in real time as fixtures finish.